OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Valspar Championship

2017-03-09 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course

Winner
Adam Hadwin
Winning score
-14
Field
158
Field strength
+0.037 SG

The 2016-2017 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 9 March 2017. Adam Hadwin won at 14 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Patrick Cantlay. The winning card was 68, 64, 67 and 71, and the win paid $1,134,000. Patrick Cantlay finished second, and Dominic Bozzelli and Jim Herman tied for third. 158 players started the event. The field averaged +0.037 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 158. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.169
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (17th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Henrik Stenson1st7th
Matt Kuchar2nd22nd
Ryan Moore3rd18th
Patrick Reed4th38th
Gary Woodland5th58th
Webb Simpson6th41st
Jason Dufner7th11th
Charl Schwartzel8th6th
Jim Furyk9th41st
Bill Haas10th41st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Dominic Bozzelli66th3rd(63)
Patrick Cantlay64th2nd(62)
Gary Woodland5th58th(+53)
Keith Mitchell62nd11th(51)
J.J. Henry69th22nd(47)
Keegan Bradley12th58th(+45)
Wesley Bryan52nd7th(45)
J.T. Poston58th14th(44)
Jason Kokrak18th58th(+40)
Jim Herman42nd3rd(39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valspar Championship in 2016-2017?

Adam Hadwin won the 2016-2017 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Valspar Championship played?

The 2016-2017 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 9 March 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Valspar Championship?

The winning score was 14 under par (270 strokes), posted by Adam Hadwin.

How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?

158 players started the 2016-2017 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.