OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

CIMB Classic

2016-10-20 · TPC Kuala Lumpur

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-23
Field
74
Field strength
+0.25 SG

The 2016-2017 CIMB Classic was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur, starting 20 October 2016. Justin Thomas won at 23 under par (265), 3 strokes ahead of Hideki Matsuyama. The winning card was 64, 66, 71 and 64, and the win paid $1,260,000. Hideki Matsuyama finished second, and Anirban Lahiri and Derek Fathauer tied for third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.25 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.202
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (25th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st2nd
Justin Thomas2nd1st
Sergio Garcia3rd17th
Kevin Na4th29th
Ryan Moore5th17th
Paul Casey6th21st
Russell Knox7th10th
Patrick Reed8th51st
Keegan Bradley9th6th
Brendan Steele10th26th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Anirban Lahiri68th3rd(65)
Scott Hend69th7th(62)
Sung Kang74th21st(53)
Derek Fathauer53rd3rd(50)
Patrick Reed8th51st(+43)
David Hearn23rd66th(+43)
John Senden24th66th(+42)
Cameron Tringale34th76th(+42)
Tyrone Van Aswegen49th7th(42)
Si Woo Kim52nd10th(42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur in Kuala Lumpur, MAS. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the CIMB Classic in 2016-2017?

Justin Thomas won the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic at TPC Kuala Lumpur, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic played?

The 2016-2017 CIMB Classic was played at TPC Kuala Lumpur, starting 20 October 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic?

The winning score was 23 under par (265 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the CIMB Classic field?

74 players started the 2016-2017 CIMB Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.