OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

CareerBuilder Challenge

2018-01-18 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Jon Rahm
Winning score
-22
Field
155
Field strength
-0.011 SG

The 2017-2018 CareerBuilder Challenge was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 18 January 2018. Jon Rahm won at 22 under par (266). The winning card was 62, 67, 70 and 67, and the win paid $1,062,000. Andrew Landry finished second, and Adam Hadwin, John Huh and Martin Piller tied for third. 155 players started the event. The field averaged -0.011 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.283
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
33.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (48th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st1st
Chez Reavie2nd36th
Lucas Glover3rd29th
Kevin Kisner4th50th
Webb Simpson5th36th
Brian Harman6th20th
Brendan Steele7th20th
Zach Johnson8th20th
Jason Dufner9th36th
Bud Cauley10th14th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Martin Piller63rd3rd(60)
Brandon Harkins61st8th(53)
Aaron Wise64th17th(47)
Beau Hossler67th20th(47)
Kevin Kisner4th50th(+46)
Tom Lovelady75th29th(46)
Harris English55th11th(44)
David Lingmerth14th57th(+43)
Wesley Bryan20th63rd(+43)
Nate Lashley72nd29th(43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the CareerBuilder Challenge in 2017-2018?

Jon Rahm won the 2017-2018 CareerBuilder Challenge at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 CareerBuilder Challenge played?

The 2017-2018 CareerBuilder Challenge was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 18 January 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 CareerBuilder Challenge?

The winning score was 22 under par (266 strokes), posted by Jon Rahm.

How many players were in the CareerBuilder Challenge field?

155 players started the 2017-2018 CareerBuilder Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.