OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

2018-02-08 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Ted Potter, Jr.
Winning score
-17
Field
154
Field strength
+0.078 SG

The 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 8 February 2018. Ted Potter, Jr. won at 17 under par (270), 3 strokes ahead of Chez Reavie. The winning card was 68, 71, 62 and 69, and the win paid $1,332,000. Chez Reavie, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day and Phil Mickelson tied for second. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.078 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.468
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (94th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st20th
Dustin Johnson2nd2nd
Jon Rahm3rd26th
Paul Casey4th8th
Matt Kuchar5th62nd
Brandt Snedeker6th20th
Jason Day7th2nd
Patrick Cantlay8th35th
Phil Mickelson9th2nd
Chez Reavie10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Rodgers69th8th(61)
Matt Kuchar5th62nd(+57)
Troy Merritt59th8th(51)
Sean O'Hair25th73rd(+48)
Grayson Murray53rd8th(45)
Sangmoon Bae60th15th(45)
Aaron Wise57th15th(42)
Vaughn Taylor16th55th(+39)
Rory Sabbatini34th72nd(+38)
Ted Potter, Jr.38th1st(37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2017-2018?

Ted Potter, Jr. won the 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am played?

The 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 8 February 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

The winning score was 17 under par (270 strokes), posted by Ted Potter, Jr.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field?

154 players started the 2017-2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.