OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Sentry Tournament of Champions

2018-01-04 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-24
Field
34
Field strength
+0.451 SG

The 2017-2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 4 January 2018. Dustin Johnson won at 24 under par (268), 8 strokes ahead of Jon Rahm. The winning card was 69, 68, 66 and 65, and the win paid $1,260,000. Jon Rahm finished second, and Brian Harman was third. 34 players started the event. The field averaged +0.451 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 34. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 34 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.357
Top-17 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
11.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (72nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st9th
Rickie Fowler2nd4th
Dustin Johnson3rd1st
Hideki Matsuyama4th4th
Justin Thomas5th22nd
Jon Rahm6th2nd
Patrick Cantlay7th15th
Brooks Koepka8th34th
Marc Leishman9th7th
Pat Perez10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Brooks Koepka8th34th(+26)
Jhonattan Vegas31st7th(24)
Si Woo Kim34th10th(24)
Kyle Stanley11th30th(+19)
Billy Horschel30th11th(19)
Justin Thomas5th22nd(+17)
Chris Stroud27th11th(16)
Brendan Steele14th29th(+15)
Patton Kizzire28th15th(13)
Adam Hadwin21st32nd(+11)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2017-2018?

Dustin Johnson won the 2017-2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 24 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions played?

The 2017-2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 4 January 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 24 under par (268 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the Sentry Tournament of Champions field?

34 players started the 2017-2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.