OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

AT&T Byron Nelson

2018-05-17 · Trinity Forest Golf Club

Winner
Aaron Wise
Winning score
-23
Field
152
Field strength
-0.076 SG

The 2017-2018 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at Trinity Forest Golf Club, starting 17 May 2018. Aaron Wise won at 23 under par (261), 3 strokes ahead of Marc Leishman. The winning card was 65, 63, 68 and 65, and the win paid $1,386,000. Marc Leishman finished second, and Branden Grace, J.J. Spaun and Keith Mitchell tied for third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged -0.076 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 72% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.391
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (81st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st21st
Marc Leishman2nd2nd
Hideki Matsuyama3rd16th
Charles Howell III4th9th
Kevin Na5th6th
Adam Scott6th9th
Branden Grace7th3rd
J.B. Holmes8th42nd
Vaughn Taylor9th59th
Rory Sabbatini10th13th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ethan Tracy73rd13th(60)
Derek Fathauer68th16th(52)
Vaughn Taylor9th59th(+50)
Keith Mitchell50th3rd(47)
Aaron Wise46th1st(45)
Ryan Armour15th59th(+44)
Tyler Duncan70th26th(44)
Martin Piller64th21st(43)
Joel Dahmen58th16th(42)
Hudson Swafford19th59th(+40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2017-2018?

Aaron Wise won the 2017-2018 AT&T Byron Nelson at Trinity Forest Golf Club, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2017-2018 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at Trinity Forest Golf Club, starting 17 May 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 23 under par (261 strokes), posted by Aaron Wise.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

152 players started the 2017-2018 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.