OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

U.S. Open

2018-06-14 · Shinnecock Hills Golf Club

Winner
Brooks Koepka
Winning score
+1
Field
156
Field strength
+0.634 SG

The 2017-2018 U.S. Open was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, starting 14 June 2018. Brooks Koepka won at 1 over par (281), 1 stroke ahead of Tommy Fleetwood. The winning card was 75, 66, 72 and 68, and the win paid $2,160,000. Tommy Fleetwood finished second, and Dustin Johnson was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.634 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 53% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.445
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (90th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st20th
Dustin Johnson2nd3rd
Henrik Stenson3rd6th
Justin Rose4th10th
Justin Thomas5th25th
Paul Casey6th16th
Hideki Matsuyama7th16th
Webb Simpson8th10th
Phil Mickelson9th48th
Brooks Koepka10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tyrrell Hatton58th6th(52)
Haotong Li67th16th(51)
Dylan Meyer64th20th(44)
Byeong Hun An25th67th(+42)
Phil Mickelson9th48th(+39)
Matt Fitzpatrick48th12th(36)
Tommy Fleetwood37th2nd(35)
Patrick Cantlay11th45th(+34)
Brendan Steele29th63rd(+34)
Marc Leishman12th45th(+33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the U.S. Open in 2017-2018?

Brooks Koepka won the 2017-2018 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, finishing 1 over par.

Where was the 2017-2018 U.S. Open played?

The 2017-2018 U.S. Open was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, starting 14 June 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 U.S. Open?

The winning score was 1 over par (281 strokes), posted by Brooks Koepka.

How many players were in the U.S. Open field?

156 players started the 2017-2018 U.S. Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.