OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

THE NORTHERN TRUST

2018-08-23 · Ridgewood CC

Winner
Bryson DeChambeau
Winning score
-18
Field
119
Field strength
+0.46 SG

The 2017-2018 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Ridgewood CC, starting 23 August 2018. Bryson DeChambeau won at 18 under par (266), 4 strokes ahead of Tony Finau. The winning card was 68, 66, 63 and 69, and the win paid $1,620,000. Tony Finau finished second, and Billy Horschel and Cameron Smith tied for third. 119 players started the event. The field averaged +0.46 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.304
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
31.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (54th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st25th
Dustin Johnson2nd11th
Tiger Woods3rd40th
Justin Thomas4th8th
Paul Casey5th60th
Matt Kuchar6th60th
Hideki Matsuyama7th15th
Jason Day8th20th
Patrick Cantlay9th8th
Louis Oosthuizen10th28th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Bronson Burgoon75th11th(64)
Aaron Wise64th5th(59)
Paul Casey5th60th(+55)
Matt Kuchar6th60th(+54)
Brian Stuard79th25th(54)
Jhonattan Vegas66th15th(51)
Sam Ryder77th28th(49)
Nick Watney59th11th(48)
Kevin Kisner26th73rd(+47)
Cameron Smith49th3rd(46)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Ridgewood CC in Paramus, New Jersey, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2017-2018?

Bryson DeChambeau won the 2017-2018 THE NORTHERN TRUST at Ridgewood CC, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 THE NORTHERN TRUST played?

The 2017-2018 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Ridgewood CC, starting 23 August 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 THE NORTHERN TRUST?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Bryson DeChambeau.

How many players were in the THE NORTHERN TRUST field?

119 players started the 2017-2018 THE NORTHERN TRUST. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.