OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Safeway Open

2017-10-05 · Silverado Resort (North Course)

Winner
Brendan Steele
Winning score
-15
Field
139
Field strength
-0.022 SG

The 2017-2018 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 5 October 2017. Brendan Steele won at 15 under par (273), 2 strokes ahead of Tony Finau. The winning card was 65, 67, 72 and 69, and the win paid $1,116,000. Tony Finau finished second, and Chesson Hadley and Phil Mickelson tied for third. 139 players started the event. The field averaged -0.022 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 139. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.247
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (38th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson1st3rd
Ryan Moore2nd17th
Kevin Na3rd37th
Zach Johnson4th13th
Webb Simpson5th17th
Lucas Glover6th30th
Bill Haas7th17th
Chez Reavie8th13th
Emiliano Grillo9th28th
Chad Campbell10th68th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tyler Duncan68th5th(63)
Chad Campbell10th68th(+58)
Smylie Kaufman19th75th(+56)
Brandon Harkins64th9th(55)
Chesson Hadley56th3rd(53)
Hunter Mahan62nd13th(49)
Brice Garnett63rd17th(46)
Corey Conners75th30th(45)
Robert Garrigus21st65th(+44)
Grayson Murray53rd9th(44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Safeway Open in 2017-2018?

Brendan Steele won the 2017-2018 Safeway Open at Silverado Resort (North Course), finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Safeway Open played?

The 2017-2018 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 5 October 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Safeway Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Brendan Steele.

How many players were in the Safeway Open field?

139 players started the 2017-2018 Safeway Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.