Tournaments / 2017-2018
Valspar Championship
2018-03-08 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course
- Winner
- Paul Casey
- Winning score
- -10
- Field
- 150
- Field strength
- +0.184 SG
The 2017-2018 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 8 March 2018. Paul Casey won at 10 under par (274), 1 stroke ahead of Patrick Reed. The winning card was 70, 68, 71 and 65, and the win paid $1,170,000. Patrick Reed and Tiger Woods tied for second. 150 players started the event. The field averaged +0.184 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 150. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 274
- Patrick Reed
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 275
- Tiger Woods
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Sergio Garcia
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 276
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 277
- Rory Sabbatini
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Jim Furyk
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 278
- Branden Grace
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 279
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
- Trey Mullinax
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 279
- Webb Simpson
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 279
- Adam Hadwin
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 280
- Sam Burns
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 280
- Sean O'Hair
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Steve Stricker
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 280
- Abraham Ancer
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 281
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 281
- Blayne Barber
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Corey Conners
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 77
- Total
- 281
- Jamie Lovemark
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.454
- Top-20 hit rate
- 70%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 15.9
Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Rose | 1st | 5th |
| Paul Casey | 2nd | 1st |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 3rd | 16th |
| Matt Kuchar | 4th | 40th |
| Sergio Garcia | 5th | 4th |
| Tiger Woods | 6th | 2nd |
| Webb Simpson | 7th | 8th |
| Lucas Glover | 8th | 74th |
| Steve Stricker | 9th | 12th |
| Patrick Reed | 10th | 2nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Glover | 8th | 74th(+66) |
| T.J. Vogel | 76th | 16th(−60) |
| Corey Conners | 67th | 16th(−51) |
| Abraham Ancer | 66th | 16th(−50) |
| Trey Mullinax | 53rd | 8th(−45) |
| Rory Sabbatini | 49th | 5th(−44) |
| Ryan Blaum | 60th | 16th(−44) |
| Kelly Kraft | 75th | 31st(−44) |
| Sam Burns | 55th | 12th(−43) |
| Blayne Barber | 59th | 16th(−43) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Valspar Championship in 2017-2018?
- Paul Casey won the 2017-2018 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 10 under par.
Where was the 2017-2018 Valspar Championship played?
- The 2017-2018 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 8 March 2018.
What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Valspar Championship?
- The winning score was 10 under par (274 strokes), posted by Paul Casey.
How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?
- 150 players started the 2017-2018 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.