OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Hero World Challenge

2017-11-30 · Albany GC

Winner
Rickie Fowler
Winning score
-18
Field
18
Field strength
+1.129 SG

The 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 30 November 2017. Rickie Fowler won at 18 under par (270), 4 strokes ahead of Charley Hoffman. The winning card was 67, 70, 72 and 61, and the win paid $1,000,000. Charley Hoffman finished second, and Jordan Spieth and Tommy Fleetwood tied for third. 18 players started the event. The field averaged +1.129 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 18. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 18 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.009
Top-9 hit rate
56%
Top-10 avg model rank
8.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (3rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Henrik Stenson1st17th
Jordan Spieth2nd3rd
Rickie Fowler3rd1st
Dustin Johnson4th14th
Hideki Matsuyama5th5th
Justin Rose6th5th
Matt Kuchar7th9th
Brooks Koepka8th18th
Tiger Woods9th9th
Patrick Reed10th5th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Henrik Stenson1st17th(+16)
Charley Hoffman17th2nd(15)
Tommy Fleetwood16th3rd(13)
Dustin Johnson4th14th(+10)
Brooks Koepka8th18th(+10)
Alex Noren18th12th(6)
Patrick Reed10th5th(5)
Francesco Molinari13th8th(5)
Rickie Fowler3rd1st(2)
Matt Kuchar7th9th(+2)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Albany GC in Albany, BAH. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2017-2018?

Rickie Fowler won the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge at Albany GC, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 30 November 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 18 under par (270 strokes), posted by Rickie Fowler.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

18 players started the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.