OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Wells Fargo Championship

2018-05-03 · Quail Hollow Club

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-12
Field
153
Field strength
+0.197 SG

The 2017-2018 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 3 May 2018. Jason Day won at 12 under par (272), 2 strokes ahead of Aaron Wise. The winning card was 69, 67, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,386,000. Aaron Wise and Nick Watney tied for second. 153 players started the event. The field averaged +0.197 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 153. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 87 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.251
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (39th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st21st
Justin Thomas2nd21st
Hideki Matsuyama3rd76th
Paul Casey4th5th
Tiger Woods5th55th
Jason Day6th1st
Francesco Molinari7th16th
Phil Mickelson8th5th
Rory McIlroy9th16th
Brooks Koepka10th42nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama3rd76th(+73)
Aaron Wise72nd2nd(70)
Peter Uihlein75th5th(70)
Talor Gooch80th13th(67)
Joel Dahmen82nd16th(66)
Greg Chalmers83rd21st(62)
Johnson Wagner73rd13th(60)
Brian Harman15th74th(+59)
Keegan Bradley19th76th(+57)
Adam Scott20th76th(+56)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2017-2018?

Jason Day won the 2017-2018 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Wells Fargo Championship played?

The 2017-2018 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 3 May 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Wells Fargo Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (272 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the Wells Fargo Championship field?

153 players started the 2017-2018 Wells Fargo Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.