OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2019-01-31 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Rickie Fowler
Winning score
-17
Field
130
Field strength
+0.136 SG

The 2018-2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 31 January 2019. Rickie Fowler won at 17 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Branden Grace. The winning card was 64, 65, 64 and 74, and the win paid $1,278,000. Branden Grace finished second, and Justin Thomas was third. 130 players started the event. The field averaged +0.136 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 130. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.351
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (70th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st3rd
Rickie Fowler2nd1st
Webb Simpson3rd20th
Hideki Matsuyama4th15th
Matt Kuchar5th4th
Jon Rahm6th10th
Emiliano Grillo7th33rd
Zach Johnson8th39th
Kevin Na9th60th
Gary Woodland10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Chris Stroud65th7th(58)
Jhonattan Vegas66th10th(56)
Keegan Bradley12th67th(+55)
Kevin Na9th60th(+51)
Sungjae Im57th7th(50)
Trey Mullinax64th15th(49)
Max Homa72nd26th(46)
Bubba Watson43rd4th(39)
Brandon Harkins63rd26th(37)
Brandt Snedeker19th55th(+36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2018-2019?

Rickie Fowler won the 2018-2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2018-2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 31 January 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (267 strokes), posted by Rickie Fowler.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

130 players started the 2018-2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.