OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Farmers Insurance Open

2019-01-24 · Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)

Winner
Justin Rose
Winning score
-21
Field
154
Field strength
+0.1 SG

The 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 24 January 2019. Justin Rose won at 21 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Adam Scott. The winning card was 63, 66, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,278,000. Adam Scott finished second, and Hideki Matsuyama and Talor Gooch tied for third. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.1 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.298
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
14.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (52nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st1st
Rickie Fowler2nd66th
Tony Finau3rd13th
Jordan Spieth4th35th
Tiger Woods5th20th
Emiliano Grillo6th52nd
Hideki Matsuyama7th3rd
Rory McIlroy8th5th
Jason Day9th5th
Jon Rahm10th5th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler2nd66th(+64)
Sepp Straka77th13th(64)
Scott Brown71st9th(62)
Sung Kang75th20th(55)
Doug Ghim73rd20th(53)
Danny Willett72nd25th(47)
Emiliano Grillo6th52nd(+46)
Brandt Snedeker18th62nd(+44)
Nick Watney28th72nd(+44)
C.T. Pan23rd66th(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2018-2019?

Justin Rose won the 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open played?

The 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open was played at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course), starting 24 January 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open?

The winning score was 21 under par (267 strokes), posted by Justin Rose.

How many players were in the Farmers Insurance Open field?

154 players started the 2018-2019 Farmers Insurance Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.