OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

The Honda Classic

2019-02-28 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Keith Mitchell
Winning score
-9
Field
142
Field strength
+0.041 SG

The 2018-2019 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 28 February 2019. Keith Mitchell won at 9 under par (271), 1 stroke ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 68, 66, 70 and 67, and the win paid $1,224,000. Brooks Koepka and Rickie Fowler tied for second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.041 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.167
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
31.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (17th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st30th
Rickie Fowler2nd2nd
Webb Simpson3rd36th
Brooks Koepka4th2nd
Daniel Berger5th36th
Sergio Garcia6th9th
Byeong Hun An7th36th
Zach Johnson8th59th
Billy Horschel9th16th
Gary Woodland10th36th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Graeme McDowell13th82nd(+69)
Lucas Bjerregaard81st12th(69)
K.H. Lee75th7th(68)
Austin Cook11th75th(+64)
Stewart Cink19th75th(+56)
Ernie Els76th20th(56)
Kevin Streelman17th71st(+54)
Max Homa74th20th(54)
Vijay Singh58th6th(52)
Roger Sloan82nd30th(52)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2018-2019?

Keith Mitchell won the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic played?

The 2018-2019 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 28 February 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 9 under par (271 strokes), posted by Keith Mitchell.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

142 players started the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.