OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

RBC Heritage

2019-04-18 · Harbour Town Golf Links

Winner
C.T. Pan
Winning score
-12
Field
130
Field strength
+0.162 SG

The 2018-2019 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 18 April 2019. C.T. Pan won at 12 under par (272), 1 stroke ahead of Matt Kuchar. The winning card was 71, 65, 69 and 67, and the win paid $1,242,000. Matt Kuchar finished second, and Patrick Cantlay, Scott Piercy and Shane Lowry tied for third. 130 players started the event. The field averaged +0.162 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 130. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.254
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (40th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st28th
Tommy Fleetwood2nd25th
Jordan Spieth3rd54th
Patrick Cantlay4th3rd
Webb Simpson5th16th
Emiliano Grillo6th33rd
Ian Poulter7th10th
Matt Kuchar8th2nd
Ryan Moore9th41st
Rafa Cabrera Bello10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sam Burns67th9th(58)
Jordan Spieth3rd54th(+51)
Xander Schauffele14th63rd(+49)
Eddie Pepperell65th16th(49)
Shane Lowry51st3rd(48)
Seamus Power54th6th(48)
K.J. Choi57th10th(47)
Marc Leishman12th58th(+46)
Trey Mullinax62nd16th(46)
Branden Grace25th61st(+36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Heritage in 2018-2019?

C.T. Pan won the 2018-2019 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 RBC Heritage played?

The 2018-2019 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 18 April 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 RBC Heritage?

The winning score was 12 under par (272 strokes), posted by C.T. Pan.

How many players were in the RBC Heritage field?

130 players started the 2018-2019 RBC Heritage. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.