OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Sentry Tournament of Champions

2019-01-03 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Xander Schauffele
Winning score
-23
Field
34
Field strength
+0.555 SG

The 2018-2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 3 January 2019. Xander Schauffele won at 23 under par (269), 1 stroke ahead of Gary Woodland. The winning card was 72, 67, 68 and 62, and the win paid $1,300,000. Gary Woodland finished second, and Justin Thomas was third. 34 players started the event. The field averaged +0.555 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 34. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 33 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.382
Top-16 hit rate
56%
Top-10 avg model rank
10.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (79th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st4th
Justin Thomas2nd3rd
Webb Simpson3rd8th
Brooks Koepka4th24th
Francesco Molinari5th27th
Rory McIlroy6th4th
Jason Day7th13th
Patrick Reed8th25th
Jon Rahm9th8th
Bryson DeChambeau10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Francesco Molinari5th27th(+22)
Brooks Koepka4th24th(+20)
Patton Kizzire27th8th(19)
Xander Schauffele19th1st(18)
Patrick Reed8th25th(+17)
Kevin Tway26th11th(15)
Cameron Champ25th11th(14)
Troy Merritt30th16th(14)
Keegan Bradley14th27th(+13)
Marc Leishman17th4th(13)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2018-2019?

Xander Schauffele won the 2018-2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions played?

The 2018-2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 3 January 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 23 under par (269 strokes), posted by Xander Schauffele.

How many players were in the Sentry Tournament of Champions field?

34 players started the 2018-2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.