OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

BMW Championship

2019-08-15 · Medinah CC (No. 3)

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-25
Field
70
Field strength
+0.714 SG

The 2018-2019 BMW Championship was played at Medinah CC (No. 3), starting 15 August 2019. Justin Thomas won at 25 under par (263), 3 strokes ahead of Patrick Cantlay. The winning card was 65, 69, 61 and 68, and the win paid $1,665,000. Patrick Cantlay finished second, and Hideki Matsuyama was third. 70 players started the event. The field averaged +0.714 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 70. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.320
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (61st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st57th
Justin Rose2nd52nd
Justin Thomas3rd1st
Tommy Fleetwood4th11th
Rickie Fowler5th11th
Brooks Koepka6th24th
Rory McIlroy7th19th
Patrick Cantlay8th2nd
Webb Simpson9th24th
Hideki Matsuyama10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st57th(+56)
Justin Rose2nd52nd(+50)
Kevin Tway61st11th(50)
Corey Conners54th7th(47)
Francesco Molinari16th61st(+45)
Sungjae Im55th11th(44)
Kevin Kisner49th9th(40)
J.T. Poston52nd16th(36)
Si Woo Kim64th28th(36)
Lucas Glover42nd7th(35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Medinah CC (No. 3) in Chicago, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the BMW Championship in 2018-2019?

Justin Thomas won the 2018-2019 BMW Championship at Medinah CC (No. 3), finishing 25 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 BMW Championship played?

The 2018-2019 BMW Championship was played at Medinah CC (No. 3), starting 15 August 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 BMW Championship?

The winning score was 25 under par (263 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the BMW Championship field?

70 players started the 2018-2019 BMW Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.