OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Mayakoba Golf Classic

2018-11-08 · El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba

Winner
Matt Kuchar
Winning score
-22
Field
127
Field strength
+0.038 SG

The 2018-2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 8 November 2018. Matt Kuchar won at 22 under par (262), 1 stroke ahead of Danny Lee. The winning card was 64, 64, 65 and 69, and the win paid $1,296,000. Danny Lee finished second, and J.J. Spaun and Richy Werenski tied for third. 127 players started the event. The field averaged +0.038 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 127. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.386
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (79th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st16th
Matt Kuchar2nd1st
Gary Woodland3rd41st
Chez Reavie4th26th
Tony Finau5th16th
Adam Hadwin6th10th
Emiliano Grillo7th15th
Russell Henley8th29th
Pat Perez9th6th
Kevin Chappell10th41st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Bill Haas13th60th(+47)
Brian Harman21st68th(+47)
Stephan Jaeger63rd16th(47)
Whee Kim54th10th(44)
K.H. Lee69th29th(40)
Gary Woodland3rd41st(+38)
J.B. Holmes11th48th(+37)
Harris English31st68th(+37)
Seth Reeves64th29th(35)
Chris Kirk14th48th(+34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Mayakoba Golf Classic in 2018-2019?

Matt Kuchar won the 2018-2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic played?

The 2018-2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 8 November 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic?

The winning score was 22 under par (262 strokes), posted by Matt Kuchar.

How many players were in the Mayakoba Golf Classic field?

127 players started the 2018-2019 Mayakoba Golf Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.