OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship

2019-02-21 · Club de Golf Chapultepec

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-21
Field
71
Field strength
+0.705 SG

The 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 21 February 2019. Dustin Johnson won at 21 under par (263), 5 strokes ahead of Rory McIlroy. The winning card was 64, 67, 66 and 66, and the win paid $1,745,000. Rory McIlroy finished second, and Ian Poulter, Kiradech Aphibarnrat and Paul Casey tied for third. 71 players started the event. The field averaged +0.705 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 68% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 71. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.378
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (78th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st1st
Justin Thomas2nd9th
Tommy Fleetwood3rd19th
Rickie Fowler4th36th
Webb Simpson5th39th
Rory McIlroy6th2nd
Tiger Woods7th10th
Francesco Molinari8th17th
Hideki Matsuyama9th19th
Phil Mickelson10th39th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
David Lipsky69th10th(59)
Joost Luiten61st10th(51)
Jordan Spieth13th54th(+41)
Bryson DeChambeau16th56th(+40)
Haotong Li59th19th(40)
Emiliano Grillo21st58th(+37)
Marc Leishman25th62nd(+37)
Cameron Smith43rd6th(37)
Danny Willett64th27th(37)
Henrik Stenson18th54th(+36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship in 2018-2019?

Dustin Johnson won the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship played?

The 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 21 February 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship field?

71 players started the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.