Tournaments / 2018-2019
Valspar Championship
2019-03-21 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course
- Winner
- Paul Casey
- Winning score
- -8
- Field
- 151
- Field strength
- +0.059 SG
The 2018-2019 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 21 March 2019. Paul Casey won at 8 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Jason Kokrak. The winning card was 70, 66, 68 and 72, and the win paid $1,206,000. Jason Kokrak and Louis Oosthuizen tied for second. 151 players started the event. The field averaged +0.059 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 276
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Bubba Watson
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- Sungjae Im
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 279
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
- Ryan Armour
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Austin Cook
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 280
- Denny McCarthy
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 280
- Luke Donald
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 280
- Scott Stallings
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 280
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Curtis Luck
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 281
- Lucas Glover
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Matt Jones
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 281
- Brian Stuard
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 282
- Jim Furyk
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 282
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.327
- Top-20 hit rate
- 40%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 18.0
Grade is this event’s percentile (64th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin Johnson | 1st | 6th |
| Paul Casey | 2nd | 1st |
| Henrik Stenson | 3rd | 24th |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 4th | 2nd |
| Sergio Garcia | 5th | 54th |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | 6th | 30th |
| Zach Johnson | 7th | 24th |
| Jim Furyk | 8th | 18th |
| Jon Rahm | 9th | 6th |
| Russell Henley | 10th | 42nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Curtis Luck | 69th | 13th(−56) |
| Sergio Garcia | 5th | 54th(+49) |
| Chesson Hadley | 17th | 65th(+48) |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 59th | 13th(−46) |
| Sung Kang | 63rd | 18th(−45) |
| Sungjae Im | 48th | 4th(−44) |
| Roberto Castro | 27th | 68th(+41) |
| Bill Haas | 51st | 13th(−38) |
| Scott Stallings | 44th | 9th(−35) |
| Harold Varner III | 31st | 65th(+34) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Valspar Championship in 2018-2019?
- Paul Casey won the 2018-2019 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 8 under par.
Where was the 2018-2019 Valspar Championship played?
- The 2018-2019 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 21 March 2019.
What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Valspar Championship?
- The winning score was 8 under par (276 strokes), posted by Paul Casey.
How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?
- 151 players started the 2018-2019 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.