OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

3M Open

2019-07-04 · TPC Twin Cities

Winner
Matthew Wolff
Winning score
-21
Field
162
Field strength
-0.054 SG

The 2018-2019 3M Open was played at TPC Twin Cities, starting 4 July 2019. Matthew Wolff won at 21 under par (263), 1 stroke ahead of Bryson DeChambeau. The winning card was 69, 67, 62 and 65, and the win paid $1,152,000. Bryson DeChambeau and Collin Morikawa tied for second. 162 players started the event. The field averaged -0.054 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 77% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 162. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 85 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.066
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
34.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (6th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Brooks Koepka1st65th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd7th
Tony Finau3rd23rd
Bryson DeChambeau4th2nd
Patrick Reed5th23rd
Jason Day6th66th
Keegan Bradley7th46th
Daniel Berger8th15th
Charles Howell III9th23rd
Kevin Streelman10th34th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Matthew Wolff77th1st(76)
Joey Garber74th7th(67)
Carlos Ortiz71st5th(66)
Roger Sloan80th15th(65)
Brooks Koepka1st65th(+64)
Jason Day6th66th(+60)
Adam Svensson75th15th(60)
Jimmy Walker15th74th(+59)
Arjun Atwal82nd23rd(59)
Sam Burns62nd7th(55)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the 3M Open in 2018-2019?

Matthew Wolff won the 2018-2019 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 3M Open played?

The 2018-2019 3M Open was played at TPC Twin Cities, starting 4 July 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 3M Open?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Matthew Wolff.

How many players were in the 3M Open field?

162 players started the 2018-2019 3M Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.