OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

Hero World Challenge

2019-12-04 · Albany GC

Winner
Henrik Stenson
Winning score
-18
Field
18
Field strength
+1.033 SG

The 2019-2020 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 4 December 2019. Henrik Stenson won at 18 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Jon Rahm. The winning card was 69, 67, 68 and 66, and the win paid $1,000,000. Jon Rahm finished second, and Patrick Reed was third. 18 players started the event. The field averaged +1.033 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 18. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 18 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.345
Top-9 hit rate
67%
Top-10 avg model rank
7.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (68th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st5th
Webb Simpson2nd10th
Justin Rose3rd5th
Patrick Cantlay4th17th
Rickie Fowler5th9th
Tiger Woods6th4th
Jon Rahm7th2nd
Jordan Spieth8th16th
Patrick Reed9th3rd
Henrik Stenson10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Cantlay4th17th(+13)
Kevin Kisner17th7th(10)
Henrik Stenson10th1st(9)
Webb Simpson2nd10th(+8)
Jordan Spieth8th16th(+8)
Patrick Reed9th3rd(6)
Jon Rahm7th2nd(5)
Xander Schauffele15th10th(5)
Justin Thomas1st5th(+4)
Rickie Fowler5th9th(+4)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Albany GC in Albany, BAH. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2019-2020?

Henrik Stenson won the 2019-2020 Hero World Challenge at Albany GC, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2019-2020 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 4 December 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 18 under par (270 strokes), posted by Henrik Stenson.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

18 players started the 2019-2020 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.