OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2021-02-04 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Brooks Koepka
Winning score
-19
Field
131
Field strength
+0.139 SG

The 2020-2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 4 February 2021. Brooks Koepka won at 19 under par (265), 1 stroke ahead of K.H. Lee. The winning card was 68, 66, 66 and 65, and the win paid $1,314,000. K.H. Lee and Xander Schauffele tied for second. 131 players started the event. The field averaged +0.139 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 91% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 131. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 66 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.335
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (66th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele1st2nd
Justin Thomas2nd13th
Webb Simpson3rd42nd
Jon Rahm4th13th
Hideki Matsuyama5th42nd
Rory McIlroy6th13th
Scottie Scheffler7th7th
Sungjae Im8th17th
Russell Henley9th30th
Billy Horschel10th53rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Andrew Putnam61st7th(54)
K.H. Lee54th2nd(52)
Billy Horschel10th53rd(+43)
Matt NeSmith50th7th(43)
Webb Simpson3rd42nd(+39)
Nate Lashley56th17th(39)
Hideki Matsuyama5th42nd(+37)
Bo Van Pelt65th30th(35)
Jordan Spieth37th4th(33)
James Hahn42nd10th(32)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2020-2021?

Brooks Koepka won the 2020-2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2020-2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 4 February 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 19 under par (265 strokes), posted by Brooks Koepka.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

131 players started the 2020-2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.