OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

AT&T Byron Nelson

2021-05-13 · TPC Craig Ranch

Winner
K.H. Lee
Winning score
-25
Field
155
Field strength
-0.076 SG

The 2020-2021 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 13 May 2021. K.H. Lee won at 25 under par (263), 3 strokes ahead of Sam Burns. The winning card was 65, 65, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,458,000. Sam Burns finished second. 155 players started the event. The field averaged -0.076 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 75% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.219
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (30th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st34th
Daniel Berger2nd3rd
Hideki Matsuyama3rd39th
Harris English4th13th
Scottie Scheffler5th47th
Bryson DeChambeau6th55th
Sebastián Muñoz7th55th
Matt Kuchar8th17th
Lee Westwood9th21st
Ryan Palmer10th47th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Satoshi Kodaira70th13th(57)
Bryson DeChambeau6th55th(+49)
Sebastián Muñoz7th55th(+48)
Joseph Bramlett55th7th(48)
Cameron Percy26th70th(+44)
Luke List18th61st(+43)
Rafa Cabrera Bello64th21st(43)
Scottie Scheffler5th47th(+42)
Si Woo Kim13th55th(+42)
Charl Schwartzel42nd3rd(39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2020-2021?

K.H. Lee won the 2020-2021 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, finishing 25 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2020-2021 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 13 May 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 25 under par (263 strokes), posted by K.H. Lee.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

155 players started the 2020-2021 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.