OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

THE NORTHERN TRUST

2021-08-19 · Liberty National Golf Club

Winner
Tony Finau
Winning score
-20
Field
123
Field strength
+0.474 SG

The 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Liberty National Golf Club, starting 19 August 2021. Tony Finau won at 20 under par (264). The winning card was 67, 64, 68 and 65, and the win paid $1,710,000. Cameron Smith finished second, and Jon Rahm was third. 123 players started the event. The field averaged +0.474 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 99% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 123. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.094
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
34.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (8th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st3rd
Justin Thomas2nd4th
Xander Schauffele3rd16th
Webb Simpson4th47th
Patrick Cantlay5th11th
Rory McIlroy6th43rd
Bryson DeChambeau7th31st
Daniel Berger8th56th
Abraham Ancer9th64th
Hideki Matsuyama10th43rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Erik van Rooyen71st7th(64)
Keith Mitchell70th8th(62)
Hudson Swafford73rd11th(62)
Robert Streb75th16th(59)
Jordan Spieth17th73rd(+56)
Abraham Ancer9th64th(+55)
Brian Harman20th75th(+55)
Tom Hoge57th4th(53)
Harry Higgs66th16th(50)
Paul Casey15th64th(+49)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Liberty National Golf Club in Jersey City, New Jersey, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2020-2021?

Tony Finau won the 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST at Liberty National Golf Club, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST played?

The 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Liberty National Golf Club, starting 19 August 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST?

The winning score was 20 under par (264 strokes), posted by Tony Finau.

How many players were in the THE NORTHERN TRUST field?

123 players started the 2020-2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.