OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

John Deere Classic

2021-07-08 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Lucas Glover
Winning score
-19
Field
148
Field strength
-0.163 SG

The 2020-2021 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 8 July 2021. Lucas Glover won at 19 under par (265), 2 strokes ahead of Kevin Na. The winning card was 68, 63, 70 and 64, and the win paid $1,116,000. Kevin Na and Ryan Moore tied for second. 148 players started the event. The field averaged -0.163 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 148. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.441
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
17.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (89th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Berger1st34th
Russell Henley2nd11th
Sungjae Im3rd47th
Harold Varner III4th11th
Kevin Na5th2nd
Steve Stricker6th41st
Sebastián Muñoz7th4th
Ryan Moore8th2nd
Zach Johnson9th34th
Lucas Glover10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Aaron Wise16th69th(+53)
Cameron Champ59th11th(48)
Scott Brown49th4th(45)
Sungjae Im3rd47th(+44)
Cam Davis11th55th(+44)
Sean O'Hair54th11th(43)
Kevin Tway65th23rd(42)
Scott Stallings15th55th(+40)
Scott Piercy29th69th(+40)
Jim Herman64th28th(36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2020-2021?

Lucas Glover won the 2020-2021 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 John Deere Classic played?

The 2020-2021 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 8 July 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 19 under par (265 strokes), posted by Lucas Glover.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

148 players started the 2020-2021 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.