OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

PGA Championship

2021-05-20 · Ocean Course at Kiawah Island

Winner
Phil Mickelson
Winning score
-6
Field
156
Field strength
+0.53 SG

The 2020-2021 PGA Championship was played at Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, starting 20 May 2021. Phil Mickelson won at 6 under par (282), 2 strokes ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 70, 69, 70 and 73, and the win paid $2,160,000. Brooks Koepka and Louis Oosthuizen tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.53 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 65% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 81 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.340
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (67th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st8th
Rory McIlroy2nd49th
Webb Simpson3rd30th
Tyrrell Hatton4th38th
Daniel Berger5th75th
Patrick Cantlay6th23rd
Collin Morikawa7th8th
Tony Finau8th8th
Bryson DeChambeau9th38th
Hideki Matsuyama10th23rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Berger5th75th(+70)
Padraig Harrington74th4th(70)
Phil Mickelson61st1st(60)
Harry Higgs63rd4th(59)
Jason Scrivener75th23rd(52)
Russell Henley22nd71st(+49)
Rory McIlroy2nd49th(+47)
Harris English17th64th(+47)
Aaron Wise64th17th(47)
Chan Kim70th23rd(47)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in Kiawah Island, South Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2020-2021?

Phil Mickelson won the 2020-2021 PGA Championship at Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, finishing 6 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 PGA Championship played?

The 2020-2021 PGA Championship was played at Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, starting 20 May 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 6 under par (282 strokes), posted by Phil Mickelson.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2020-2021 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.