OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Wells Fargo Championship

2021-05-06 · Quail Hollow Club

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-10
Field
155
Field strength
+0.085 SG

The 2020-2021 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 6 May 2021. Rory McIlroy won at 10 under par (274), 1 stroke ahead of Abraham Ancer. The winning card was 72, 66, 68 and 68, and the win paid $1,458,000. Abraham Ancer finished second, and Keith Mitchell and Viktor Hovland tied for third. 155 players started the event. The field averaged +0.085 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 91% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.398
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (82nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st26th
Xander Schauffele2nd14th
Rory McIlroy3rd1st
Bryson DeChambeau4th9th
Patrick Reed5th6th
Abraham Ancer6th2nd
Harris English7th43rd
Viktor Hovland8th3rd
Brian Harman9th18th
Joaquin Niemann10th18th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Satoshi Kodaira77th11th(66)
Russell Henley11th72nd(+61)
Keith Mitchell60th3rd(57)
J.J. Spaun72nd18th(54)
Shane Lowry13th65th(+52)
Brendan Steele18th70th(+52)
C.T. Pan70th18th(52)
Ben Martin58th11th(47)
Carlos Ortiz24th65th(+41)
Scott Piercy52nd11th(41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2020-2021?

Rory McIlroy won the 2020-2021 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club, finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Wells Fargo Championship played?

The 2020-2021 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 6 May 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Wells Fargo Championship?

The winning score was 10 under par (274 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the Wells Fargo Championship field?

155 players started the 2020-2021 Wells Fargo Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.