OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

U.S. Open (2021)

2021-06-17 · Torrey Pines (South)

Winner
Jon Rahm
Winning score
-6
Field
145
Field strength
+0.533 SG

The 2020-2021 U.S. Open (2021) was played at Torrey Pines (South), starting 17 June 2021. Jon Rahm won at 6 under par (278), 1 stroke ahead of Louis Oosthuizen. The winning card was 69, 70, 72 and 67, and the win paid $2,250,000. Louis Oosthuizen finished second, and Harris English was third. 145 players started the event. The field averaged +0.533 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 62% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 145. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.511
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (97th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st1st
Xander Schauffele2nd7th
Justin Thomas3rd19th
Rory McIlroy4th7th
Dustin Johnson5th19th
Collin Morikawa6th4th
Patrick Reed7th19th
Daniel Berger8th7th
Patrick Cantlay9th15th
Bryson DeChambeau10th26th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Guido Migliozzi60th4th(56)
Shane Lowry19th65th(+46)
Rikuya Hoshino71st26th(45)
Chris Baker69th26th(43)
Matt Fitzpatrick14th55th(+41)
Mackenzie Hughes49th15th(34)
Charl Schwartzel52nd19th(33)
Charley Hoffman27th57th(+30)
Robert MacIntyre65th35th(30)
Wade Ormsby70th40th(30)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Torrey Pines (South) in San Diego, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the U.S. Open (2021) in 2020-2021?

Jon Rahm won the 2020-2021 U.S. Open (2021) at Torrey Pines (South), finishing 6 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 U.S. Open (2021) played?

The 2020-2021 U.S. Open (2021) was played at Torrey Pines (South), starting 17 June 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 U.S. Open (2021)?

The winning score was 6 under par (278 strokes), posted by Jon Rahm.

How many players were in the U.S. Open (2021) field?

145 players started the 2020-2021 U.S. Open (2021). Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.