OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

The American Express

2022-01-20 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Hudson Swafford
Winning score
-23
Field
155
Field strength
+0.049 SG

The 2021-2022 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 20 January 2022. Hudson Swafford won at 23 under par (265), 2 strokes ahead of Tom Hoge. The winning card was 70, 65, 66 and 64, and the win paid $1,368,000. Tom Hoge finished second, and Brian Harman, Lanto Griffin and Lee Hodges tied for third. 155 players started the event. The field averaged +0.049 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.198
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (24th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st14th
Patrick Cantlay2nd9th
Abraham Ancer3rd40th
Tony Finau4th40th
Scottie Scheffler5th25th
Seamus Power6th14th
Sungjae Im7th11th
Patrick Reed8th55th
Russell Henley9th14th
Harold Varner III10th22nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Lee Hodges66th3rd(63)
Hudson Swafford62nd1st(61)
Paul Barjon64th10th(54)
David Lipsky67th14th(53)
Patrick Reed8th55th(+47)
Doug Ghim12th59th(+47)
Emiliano Grillo21st63rd(+42)
K.H. Lee23rd63rd(+40)
Wyndham Clark52nd13th(39)
Abraham Ancer3rd40th(+37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The American Express in 2021-2022?

Hudson Swafford won the 2021-2022 The American Express at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 The American Express played?

The 2021-2022 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 20 January 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 The American Express?

The winning score was 23 under par (265 strokes), posted by Hudson Swafford.

How many players were in the The American Express field?

155 players started the 2021-2022 The American Express. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.