OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

AT&T Byron Nelson

2022-05-12 · TPC Craig Ranch

Winner
K.H. Lee
Winning score
-26
Field
152
Field strength
+0.048 SG

The 2021-2022 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 12 May 2022. K.H. Lee won at 26 under par (262), 1 stroke ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 64, 68, 67 and 63, and the win paid $1,638,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Hideki Matsuyama and Sebastián Muñoz tied for third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged +0.048 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 83 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.315
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (59th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele1st5th
Justin Thomas2nd5th
Dustin Johnson3rd59th
Seamus Power4th17th
Hideki Matsuyama5th3rd
Joaquin Niemann6th25th
Scottie Scheffler7th15th
Jordan Spieth8th2nd
Jason Kokrak9th17th
Jason Day10th51st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patton Kizzire17th83rd(+66)
Dustin Johnson3rd59th(+56)
Davis Riley63rd9th(54)
Tom Kim69th17th(52)
Beau Hossler67th17th(50)
Adam Svensson20th69th(+49)
Sepp Straka26th73rd(+47)
Austin Smotherman72nd25th(47)
Peter Malnati55th9th(46)
Christiaan Bezuidenhout57th12th(45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2021-2022?

K.H. Lee won the 2021-2022 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, finishing 26 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2021-2022 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 12 May 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 26 under par (262 strokes), posted by K.H. Lee.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

152 players started the 2021-2022 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.