OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

PGA Championship

2022-05-19 · Southern Hills CC

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-5
Field
156
Field strength
+0.527 SG

The 2021-2022 PGA Championship was played at Southern Hills CC, starting 19 May 2022. Justin Thomas won at 5 under par (275). The winning card was 67, 67, 74 and 67, and the win paid $2,700,000. Will Zalatoris finished second, and Cameron Young and Mito Pereira tied for third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.527 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 60% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.269
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (45th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st48th
Justin Thomas2nd1st
Xander Schauffele3rd13th
Rory McIlroy4th8th
Viktor Hovland5th41st
Louis Oosthuizen6th60th
Collin Morikawa7th55th
Hideki Matsuyama8th60th
Tony Finau9th30th
Cameron Smith10th13th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Lucas Herbert72nd13th(59)
Mito Pereira59th3rd(56)
Louis Oosthuizen6th60th(+54)
Davis Riley67th13th(54)
Hideki Matsuyama8th60th(+52)
Brendan Steele61st9th(52)
Justin Rose63rd13th(50)
Collin Morikawa7th55th(+48)
Jon Rahm1st48th(+47)
Cameron Young47th3rd(44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Southern Hills CC in Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2021-2022?

Justin Thomas won the 2021-2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills CC, finishing 5 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 PGA Championship played?

The 2021-2022 PGA Championship was played at Southern Hills CC, starting 19 May 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 5 under par (275 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2021-2022 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.