OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

Butterfield Bermuda Championship

2021-10-28 · Port Royal Golf Course

Winner
Lucas Herbert
Winning score
-15
Field
114
Field strength
-0.087 SG

The 2021-2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship was played at Port Royal Golf Course, starting 28 October 2021. Lucas Herbert won at 15 under par (269), 1 stroke ahead of Danny Lee. The winning card was 70, 65, 65 and 69, and the win paid $1,170,000. Danny Lee and Patrick Reed tied for second. 114 players started the event. The field averaged -0.087 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 64% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 114. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.140
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
33.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (12th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Reed1st2nd
Matt Fitzpatrick2nd30th
Adam Hadwin3rd46th
Russell Knox4th12th
Seamus Power5th12th
Scott Stallings6th5th
Mark Hubbard7th22nd
Ryan Armour8th67th
Denny McCarthy9th39th
Camilo Villegas10th34th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ryan Armour8th67th(+59)
Lucas Herbert59th1st(58)
Curtis Thompson64th7th(57)
Davis Riley62nd7th(55)
Justin Lower67th17th(50)
J.J. Spaun55th7th(48)
Graeme McDowell57th12th(45)
David Lingmerth13th57th(+44)
Adam Hadwin3rd46th(+43)
Sepp Straka12th51st(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton, BER. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Butterfield Bermuda Championship in 2021-2022?

Lucas Herbert won the 2021-2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship played?

The 2021-2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship was played at Port Royal Golf Course, starting 28 October 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Lucas Herbert.

How many players were in the Butterfield Bermuda Championship field?

114 players started the 2021-2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.