OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

2023-02-02 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Justin Rose
Winning score
-18
Field
153
Field strength
-0.16 SG

The 2022-2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 2 February 2023. Justin Rose won at 18 under par (269), 3 strokes ahead of Brandon Wu. The winning card was 69, 69, 65 and 66, and the win paid $1,620,000. Brandon Wu and Brendon Todd tied for second. 153 players started the event. The field averaged -0.16 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 81% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 153. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.212
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (28th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st63rd
Seamus Power2nd15th
Viktor Hovland3rd13th
Tom Hoge4th48th
Scott Stallings5th15th
Brendon Todd6th2nd
Keith Mitchell7th4th
Justin Rose8th1st
Kevin Streelman9th63rd
Denny McCarthy10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st63rd(+62)
Kevin Streelman9th63rd(+54)
Richy Werenski74th20th(54)
Michael Kim62nd11th(51)
Brent Grant71st20th(51)
Alex Smalley15th65th(+50)
Garrick Higgo68th20th(48)
Jonas Blixt66th20th(46)
Kevin Yu52nd7th(45)
Tom Hoge4th48th(+44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2022-2023?

Justin Rose won the 2022-2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am played?

The 2022-2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 2 February 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

The winning score was 18 under par (269 strokes), posted by Justin Rose.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field?

153 players started the 2022-2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.