Tournaments / 2022-2023
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard
2023-03-02 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge
- Winner
- Kurt Kitayama
- Winning score
- -9
- Field
- 119
- Field strength
- +0.474 SG
The 2022-2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 2 March 2023. Kurt Kitayama won at 9 under par (279), 1 stroke ahead of Harris English. The winning card was 67, 68, 72 and 72, and the win paid $3,600,000. Harris English and Rory McIlroy tied for second. 119 players started the event. The field averaged +0.474 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Kurt Kitayama
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 279
- Harris English
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
- Scottie Scheffler
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 281
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 281
- Davis Riley
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 77
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 282
- Trey Mullinax
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 282
- Cameron Young
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 283
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 283
- Viktor Hovland
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 283
- Ben Griffin
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 284
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 284
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 76
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 284
- Max Homa
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 284
- Pierceson Coody
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 284
- Ryan Fox
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 284
- Sahith Theegala
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 284
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.359
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 21.2
Grade is this event’s percentile (73rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 2nd |
| Scottie Scheffler | 2nd | 4th |
| Patrick Cantlay | 3rd | 4th |
| Sungjae Im | 4th | 21st |
| Xander Schauffele | 5th | 39th |
| Justin Thomas | 6th | 21st |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 7th | 14th |
| Tony Finau | 8th | 24th |
| Jon Rahm | 9th | 39th |
| Will Zalatoris | 10th | 53rd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Pierceson Coody | 68th | 14th(−54) |
| Ryan Fox | 67th | 14th(−53) |
| Shane Lowry | 15th | 67th(+52) |
| Trey Mullinax | 60th | 8th(−52) |
| Seamus Power | 22nd | 72nd(+50) |
| Ludvig Åberg | 71st | 24th(−47) |
| Will Zalatoris | 10th | 53rd(+43) |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 19th | 61st(+42) |
| Francesco Molinari | 55th | 14th(−41) |
| Kurt Kitayama | 41st | 1st(−40) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard in 2022-2023?
- Kurt Kitayama won the 2022-2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, finishing 9 under par.
Where was the 2022-2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard played?
- The 2022-2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 2 March 2023.
What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
- The winning score was 9 under par (279 strokes), posted by Kurt Kitayama.
How many players were in the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard field?
- 119 players started the 2022-2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.