OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

AT&T Byron Nelson

2023-05-11 · TPC Craig Ranch

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-23
Field
151
Field strength
-0.155 SG

The 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 11 May 2023. Jason Day won at 23 under par (261), 1 stroke ahead of Austin Eckroat. The winning card was 64, 69, 66 and 62, and the win paid $1,710,000. Austin Eckroat and Si Woo Kim tied for second. 151 players started the event. The field averaged -0.155 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 84 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.326
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (63rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st5th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd23rd
Seamus Power3rd19th
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4th23rd
Tom Hoge5th43rd
Tyrrell Hatton6th5th
Matt Kuchar7th43rd
K.H. Lee8th50th
Aaron Wise9th50th
Adam Scott10th8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Zecheng Dou78th5th(73)
Richy Werenski81st11th(70)
Sung Kang84th14th(70)
Austin Eckroat65th2nd(63)
Peter Kuest74th14th(60)
Trevor Cone83rd23rd(60)
Lucas Glover25th79th(+54)
Vincent Norrman61st8th(53)
Carson Young63rd14th(49)
Vince Whaley32nd79th(+47)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2022-2023?

Jason Day won the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, finishing 23 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson played?

The 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson was played at TPC Craig Ranch, starting 11 May 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson?

The winning score was 23 under par (261 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the AT&T Byron Nelson field?

151 players started the 2022-2023 AT&T Byron Nelson. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.