OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

John Deere Classic

2023-07-06 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Sepp Straka
Winning score
-21
Field
150
Field strength
-0.162 SG

The 2022-2023 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 6 July 2023. Sepp Straka won at 21 under par (263), 2 strokes ahead of Alex Smalley. The winning card was 73, 63, 65 and 62, and the win paid $1,332,000. Alex Smalley and Brendon Todd tied for second. 150 players started the event. The field averaged -0.162 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 150. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.259
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (42nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Russell Henley1st35th
Chris Kirk2nd21st
Cameron Young3rd6th
Seamus Power4th13th
Mark Hubbard5th6th
Kevin Streelman6th51st
Keith Mitchell7th42nd
Denny McCarthy8th6th
Matt Kuchar9th67th
Doug Ghim10th26th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Grayson Murray69th6th(63)
Matt Kuchar9th67th(+58)
Jonas Blixt68th17th(51)
William Mouw63rd13th(50)
Michael Thorbjornsen64th17th(47)
Kevin Streelman6th51st(+45)
Tyler Duncan17th61st(+44)
Kevin Yu48th6th(42)
Garrick Higgo60th21st(39)
Ludvig Åberg41st4th(37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2022-2023?

Sepp Straka won the 2022-2023 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 John Deere Classic played?

The 2022-2023 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 6 July 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Sepp Straka.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

150 players started the 2022-2023 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.