OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Valspar Championship

2023-03-16 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course

Winner
Taylor Moore
Winning score
-10
Field
152
Field strength
-0.109 SG

The 2022-2023 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 16 March 2023. Taylor Moore won at 10 under par (274), 1 stroke ahead of Adam Schenk. The winning card was 71, 67, 69 and 67, and the win paid $1,458,000. Adam Schenk finished second, and Jordan Spieth and Tommy Fleetwood tied for third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged -0.109 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.429
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (88th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st10th
Sam Burns2nd6th
Jordan Spieth3rd3rd
Tommy Fleetwood4th3rd
Davis Riley5th19th
Justin Rose6th36th
Gary Woodland7th45th
Kevin Streelman8th27th
K.H. Lee9th19th
Denny McCarthy10th19th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cody Gribble69th7th(62)
Lee Hodges18th63rd(+45)
MJ Daffue64th19th(45)
Matt Wallace50th7th(43)
Zac Blair51st10th(41)
Joel Dahmen21st61st(+40)
Trevor Werbylo66th27th(39)
Gary Woodland7th45th(+38)
Richy Werenski65th27th(38)
Sean O'Hair55th19th(36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valspar Championship in 2022-2023?

Taylor Moore won the 2022-2023 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Valspar Championship played?

The 2022-2023 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 16 March 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Valspar Championship?

The winning score was 10 under par (274 strokes), posted by Taylor Moore.

How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?

152 players started the 2022-2023 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.