OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

The American Express

2024-01-18 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Nick Dunlap
Winning score
-29
Field
155
Field strength
+0.022 SG

The 2024 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 18 January 2024. Nick Dunlap won at 29 under par (259), 1 stroke ahead of Christiaan Bezuidenhout. The winning card was 64, 65, 60 and 70. Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished second, and Justin Thomas, Kevin Yu and Xander Schauffele tied for third. 155 players started the event. The field averaged +0.022 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 155. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.191
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (22nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st17th
Patrick Cantlay2nd52nd
Xander Schauffele3rd3rd
Chris Kirk4th47th
Sungjae Im5th25th
Eric Cole6th21st
Tony Finau7th25th
Adam Hadwin8th6th
Sam Burns9th6th
J.T. Poston10th11th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Nick Dunlap65th1st(64)
Alexander Björk64th11th(53)
Patrick Cantlay2nd52nd(+50)
Chan Kim57th14th(43)
Jimmy Stanger57th14th(43)
Chris Kirk4th47th(+43)
Taylor Montgomery20th61st(+41)
Bronson Burgoon54th14th(40)
Stephan Jaeger16th52nd(+36)
Sam Ryder26th62nd(+36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The American Express in 2024?

Nick Dunlap won the 2024 The American Express at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 29 under par.

Where was the 2024 The American Express played?

The 2024 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 18 January 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 The American Express?

The winning score was 29 under par (259 strokes), posted by Nick Dunlap.

How many players were in the The American Express field?

155 players started the 2024 The American Express. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.