OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

2024-03-07 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge

Winner
Scottie Scheffler
Winning score
-15
Field
69
Field strength
+0.443 SG

The 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 7 March 2024. Scottie Scheffler won at 15 under par (273), 5 strokes ahead of Wyndham Clark. The winning card was 70, 67, 70 and 66, and the win paid $4,000,000. Wyndham Clark finished second, and Shane Lowry was third. 69 players started the event. The field averaged +0.443 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 97% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 69. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 58 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.282
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (48th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st1st
Patrick Cantlay2nd36th
Rory McIlroy3rd21st
Max Homa4th8th
Xander Schauffele5th25th
Viktor Hovland6th36th
Ludvig Åberg7th25th
Jordan Spieth8th30th
Eric Cole9th21st
Justin Thomas10th12th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Hadwin14th52nd(+38)
Lee Hodges49th12th(37)
Tom Kim17th52nd(+35)
Patrick Cantlay2nd36th(+34)
Seamus Power54th21st(33)
Grayson Murray58th25th(33)
Emiliano Grillo40th8th(32)
Chris Kirk13th44th(+31)
Viktor Hovland6th36th(+30)
Shane Lowry33rd3rd(30)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard in 2024?

Scottie Scheffler won the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard played?

The 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 7 March 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Scottie Scheffler.

How many players were in the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard field?

69 players started the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.