OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

The Sentry

2024-01-04 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Chris Kirk
Winning score
-29
Field
59
Field strength
+0.386 SG

The 2024 The Sentry was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 4 January 2024. Chris Kirk won at 29 under par (263), 1 stroke ahead of Sahith Theegala. The winning card was 67, 65, 66 and 65, and the win paid $3,600,000. Sahith Theegala finished second, and Jordan Spieth was third. 59 players started the event. The field averaged +0.386 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 98% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 59. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 59 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.244
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (37th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st5th
Patrick Cantlay2nd12th
Xander Schauffele3rd10th
Max Homa4th14th
Tommy Fleetwood5th47th
Collin Morikawa6th5th
Viktor Hovland7th22nd
Tyrrell Hatton8th14th
Tom Kim9th45th
Matt Fitzpatrick10th14th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tommy Fleetwood5th47th(+42)
Rickie Fowler14th56th(+42)
Hideki Matsuyama19th58th(+39)
Russell Henley15th52nd(+37)
Tom Kim9th45th(+36)
Sahith Theegala38th2nd(36)
Patrick Rodgers50th14th(36)
Erik van Rooyen58th22nd(36)
Ludvig Åberg12th47th(+35)
Nico Echavarria59th25th(34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Sentry in 2024?

Chris Kirk won the 2024 The Sentry at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 29 under par.

Where was the 2024 The Sentry played?

The 2024 The Sentry was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 4 January 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 The Sentry?

The winning score was 29 under par (263 strokes), posted by Chris Kirk.

How many players were in the The Sentry field?

59 players started the 2024 The Sentry. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.