OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

John Deere Classic

2024-07-04 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Davis Thompson
Winning score
-28
Field
152
Field strength
-0.103 SG

The 2024 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 4 July 2024. Davis Thompson won at 28 under par (256), 4 strokes ahead of C.T. Pan. The winning card was 63, 67, 62 and 64, and the win paid $1,440,000. C.T. Pan, Luke Clanton and Michael Thorbjornsen tied for second. 152 players started the event. The field averaged -0.103 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 80% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.398
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (82nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Sungjae Im1st12th
Jordan Spieth2nd26th
Denny McCarthy3rd7th
Lucas Glover4th23rd
Sepp Straka5th61st
Aaron Rai6th7th
Eric Cole7th7th
J.T. Poston8th30th
Adam Svensson9th34th
Mark Hubbard10th32nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sepp Straka5th61st(+56)
Hayden Springer63rd7th(56)
Sami Valimaki67th12th(55)
Michael Thorbjornsen56th2nd(54)
Lee Hodges26th77th(+51)
Beau Hossler16th61st(+45)
Bud Cauley17th61st(+44)
Luke Clanton44th2nd(42)
Justin Lower32nd73rd(+41)
Joshua Creel75th34th(41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2024?

Davis Thompson won the 2024 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 28 under par.

Where was the 2024 John Deere Classic played?

The 2024 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 4 July 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 28 under par (256 strokes), posted by Davis Thompson.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

152 players started the 2024 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.