OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

Valspar Championship

2024-03-21 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course

Winner
Peter Malnati
Winning score
-12
Field
147
Field strength
-0.006 SG

The 2024 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 21 March 2024. Peter Malnati won at 12 under par (272), 2 strokes ahead of Cameron Young. The winning card was 66, 71, 68 and 67, and the win paid $1,512,000. Cameron Young finished second, and Chandler Phillips and Mackenzie Hughes tied for third. 147 players started the event. The field averaged -0.006 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 147. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.259
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (42nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele1st5th
Justin Thomas2nd64th
Adam Hadwin3rd5th
Eric Cole4th33rd
Brendon Todd5th33rd
Nick Taylor6th64th
Lucas Glover7th11th
Doug Ghim8th67th
Christiaan Bezuidenhout9th9th
Cameron Young10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas2nd64th(+62)
Chandler Phillips63rd3rd(60)
Carl Yuan65th5th(60)
Doug Ghim8th67th(+59)
Nick Taylor6th64th(+58)
Peter Malnati52nd1st(51)
Kevin Roy59th12th(47)
Mac Meissner72nd26th(46)
Bronson Burgoon30th75th(+45)
Fred Biondi67th26th(41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valspar Championship in 2024?

Peter Malnati won the 2024 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2024 Valspar Championship played?

The 2024 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 21 March 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 Valspar Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (272 strokes), posted by Peter Malnati.

How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?

147 players started the 2024 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.