OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

The American Express

2025-01-16 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Sepp Straka
Winning score
-25
Field
153
Field strength
+0.013 SG

The 2025 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 16 January 2025. Sepp Straka won at 25 under par (263), 2 strokes ahead of Justin Thomas. The winning card was 65, 64, 64 and 70, and the win paid $1,584,000. Justin Thomas finished second, and Jason Day and Justin Lower tied for third. 153 players started the event. The field averaged +0.013 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 153. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.229
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (33rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Cantlay1st5th
Sam Burns2nd29th
Si Woo Kim3rd51st
Justin Thomas4th2nd
Ben Griffin5th7th
Davis Thompson6th51st
Doug Ghim7th21st
Mac Meissner8th68th
Kurt Kitayama9th58th
J.T. Poston10th12th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Camilo Villegas71st7th(64)
Mac Meissner8th68th(+60)
Eric Cole11th68th(+57)
Trey Mullinax69th18th(51)
Kurt Kitayama9th58th(+49)
Si Woo Kim3rd51st(+48)
Frankie Capan III59th12th(47)
Davis Thompson6th51st(+45)
Charley Hoffman46th5th(41)
Vincent Norrman70th29th(41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The American Express in 2025?

Sepp Straka won the 2025 The American Express at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 25 under par.

Where was the 2025 The American Express played?

The 2025 The American Express was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 16 January 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 The American Express?

The winning score was 25 under par (263 strokes), posted by Sepp Straka.

How many players were in the The American Express field?

153 players started the 2025 The American Express. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.