OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

2025-01-30 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-21
Field
80
Field strength
+0.426 SG

The 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 30 January 2025. Rory McIlroy won at 21 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Shane Lowry. The winning card was 66, 70, 65 and 66, and the win paid $3,600,000. Shane Lowry finished second, and Justin Rose and Lucas Glover tied for third. 80 players started the event. The field averaged +0.426 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 80. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.203
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (25th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st9th
Collin Morikawa2nd17th
Rory McIlroy3rd1st
Russell Henley4th5th
Hideki Matsuyama5th48th
Patrick Cantlay6th33rd
Tommy Fleetwood7th22nd
Justin Thomas8th48th
Adam Scott9th22nd
Sam Burns10th22nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cam Davis75th5th(70)
Justin Rose64th3rd(61)
Rasmus Højgaard77th22nd(55)
Corey Conners11th65th(+54)
Gary Woodland74th22nd(52)
Keegan Bradley14th65th(+51)
Beau Hossler18th69th(+51)
Patrick Rodgers71st22nd(49)
Doug Ghim20th68th(+48)
Wyndham Clark25th73rd(+48)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2025?

Rory McIlroy won the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am played?

The 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 30 January 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

The winning score was 21 under par (267 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field?

80 players started the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.