OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

FedEx St. Jude Championship

2025-08-07 · TPC Southwind

Winner
Justin Rose
Winning score
-16
Field
69
Field strength
+0.517 SG

The 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship was played at TPC Southwind, starting 7 August 2025. Justin Rose won at 16 under par (264). The winning card was 64, 66, 67 and 67, and the win paid $3,600,000. J.J. Spaun finished second, and Scottie Scheffler and Tommy Fleetwood tied for third. 69 players started the event. The field averaged +0.517 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 69. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.454
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st3rd
Xander Schauffele2nd22nd
Collin Morikawa3rd22nd
Tommy Fleetwood4th3rd
Russell Henley5th17th
Hideki Matsuyama6th17th
Patrick Cantlay7th9th
Justin Thomas8th28th
Viktor Hovland9th32nd
Ludvig Åberg10th9th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Berger16th68th(+52)
Justin Rose52nd1st(51)
Rickie Fowler55th6th(49)
Corey Conners12th50th(+38)
Cameron Young42nd5th(37)
Davis Riley69th32nd(37)
Shane Lowry24th59th(+35)
Bud Cauley49th14th(35)
Chris Kirk43rd9th(34)
Wyndham Clark23rd56th(+33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the FedEx St. Jude Championship in 2025?

Justin Rose won the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship played?

The 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship was played at TPC Southwind, starting 7 August 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

The winning score was 16 under par (264 strokes), posted by Justin Rose.

How many players were in the FedEx St. Jude Championship field?

69 players started the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.