OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

Hero World Challenge

2025-12-04 · Albany GC

Winner
Hideki Matsuyama
Winning score
-22
Field
20
Field strength
+0.808 SG

The 2025 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 4 December 2025. Hideki Matsuyama won at 22 under par (266). The winning card was 68, 66, 68 and 64, and the win paid $1,000,000. Alex Noren finished second, and Sepp Straka was third. 20 players started the event. The field averaged +0.808 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 20. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 20 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.208
Top-10 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
10.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (26th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st4th
Robert MacIntyre2nd12th
Aaron Rai3rd18th
Sam Burns4th11th
Hideki Matsuyama5th1st
Corey Conners6th7th
Keegan Bradley7th13th
J.J. Spaun8th4th
Akshay Bhatia9th14th
Brian Harman10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Aaron Rai3rd18th(+15)
Alex Noren16th2nd(14)
Justin Rose18th6th(12)
Robert MacIntyre2nd12th(+10)
Sepp Straka13th3rd(10)
Sam Burns4th11th(+7)
Wyndham Clark15th8th(7)
Keegan Bradley7th13th(+6)
Brian Harman10th16th(+6)
Akshay Bhatia9th14th(+5)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Albany GC in Albany, BAH. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2025?

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2025 Hero World Challenge at Albany GC, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2025 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2025 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 4 December 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 22 under par (266 strokes), posted by Hideki Matsuyama.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

20 players started the 2025 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.